Senin, 20 Juni 2022

Omicron: "...it’s misleading to quote a number that’s twice as soon and an order of magnitude higher."


The ADO NZ is headlined "Amicron: Simulation suggests New Zealand could face peak of 80,000 daily infections" and the report begins with the words "New Zealand Spokespersons Weekend to UK could cause 50,000 a day”. It's technically correct, but in this context it's not the best view.
“First of all, it's an infection pattern, not a case. This includes asymptomatic infections (which of course is important) and infections that are not just reported . cases, including a peak of around 11,000 daily cases at the end of March, if the models are to be believed, we have seen that over the past two years we have seen case reports rather than of infections. "

~Thomas Lumley, from his posts ' How Many Amicrons? '


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